Columbus North
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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State Rank #22
Brown County Semi-State Rank #4
Brown County Regional Rank #1
Brown County Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 22nd place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 1.3%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Dave Bannon Invitational Columbus North Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Conference Indiana Culver Academies Invitational Brown County Sectional Brown County Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/26 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/23 10/7 10/14 10/21 10/28
Team Rating 332 339 358 298 310 362 376 447 359 421
Team Adjusted Rating 339 358 298 310 362 357 367 359 362
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Dave Bannon Invitational Columbus North Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Conference Indiana Culver Academies Invitational Brown County Sectional Brown County Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
84  Arig Tong 12 19:35 19:49 19:57 19:41 19:19 19:33 19:31 19:23 19:33 19:54
87  Olivia Morlock 10 19:36 19:07 19:11 19:00 19:44 19:44 19:42 20:38
187  Aric Tong 9 20:10 20:05 20:34 20:19 19:49 20:07 20:25 19:51 19:56 20:51
267  Emma Smith 11 20:36 21:11 20:52 20:30 20:49 20:52 21:14 20:46 20:27
289  Mackenzie Barnett 9 20:40 21:39 21:44 21:03 20:51 20:55 20:54 21:12 20:27 20:31
334  Kirsten Ballard 12 20:48 20:30 20:34 20:19 20:22 20:52 20:54 20:59 21:09 21:13
372  Ella Anderson 9 20:57 22:04 21:55 21:10 21:23 21:06 21:16 21:21 20:42 20:53
400  Abbey Landini 11 21:03 22:22 21:42 21:28 20:54
576  Sydney Geckler 11 21:33 21:04 21:27 21:36 22:05
592  Kennedy Kerber 10 21:35 21:31 21:40
720  Emma Lawson 11 21:55 21:51 21:40 21:52 21:55 22:14
747  Madelyn Sanders 12 22:00 22:12 22:19 21:56 21:31 22:07
1,261  Jocelyn Maynard 12 23:13 23:26 23:21 22:57 23:15
1,341  Soumya Paliwal 9 23:21 23:55 23:38 23:17 22:49
1,352  Erin Rawlins 9 23:23 23:19 23:14 23:29 23:28
Nela Riddle 9 23:46 23:20 23:11 24:12 24:12
Ava Becker 12 24:10 24:18 24:10 24:45 23:34




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 19.1 445 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.7 1.2 3.3 4.0 5.7 6.8 8.6 8.9 10.2 10.3 11.2 11.7 9.6 7.0
Semi-State 100% 4.4 142 0.5 2.3 10.2 45.2 29.5 11.7 0.7
Regionals 100% 1.0 27 99.9 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.0 24 100.0 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Arig Tong 100% 80.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 84.9%
Olivia Morlock 100% 81.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 84.3%
Aric Tong 100% 133.5 12.7%
Emma Smith 100% 163.9 0.5%
Mackenzie Barnett 100% 167.1 0.2%
Kirsten Ballard 100% 175.8 0.1%
Ella Anderson 100% 182.9 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Arig Tong 100% 15.5 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.2 2.2 3.3 3.6 4.5 3.9 4.3 4.4 4.0 4.7 5.4 5.5 4.8 3.8 5.3 4.0 4.7 4.2 3.4 4.1 2.4 2.7 100.0%
Olivia Morlock 100% 15.9 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.9 2.9 2.7 3.1 4.0 4.3 4.1 5.0 5.2 5.4 5.7 5.0 5.4 4.5 4.2 4.6 4.4 3.8 3.2 2.1 2.7 100.0%
Aric Tong 100% 35.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.9 1.3 2.2 100.0%
Emma Smith 100% 50.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Mackenzie Barnett 100% 51.9 0.1 100.0%
Kirsten Ballard 100% 56.9 100.0%
Ella Anderson 100% 63.1 100.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Arig Tong 100% 1.5 33.2 34.2 21.6 7.9 2.6 0.7 0.1 100.0%
Olivia Morlock 100% 1.5 30.4 36.2 22.9 7.1 2.7 0.9 100.0%
Aric Tong 100% 5.2 0.1 0.3 5.6 16.8 22.2 24.4 23.1 5.3 1.9 0.3 0.2 100.0%
Emma Smith 100% 8.2 0.1 0.4 1.8 5.6 11.3 26.8 23.3 14.9 8.7 4.5 1.8 0.9 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Mackenzie Barnett 100% 8.8 0.1 0.3 0.6 2.8 7.9 20.7 23.1 19.9 13.1 6.5 3.9 1.1 0.4 100.0%
Kirsten Ballard 100% 10.1 0.2 0.7 2.5 8.6 13.9 21.4 21.3 15.4 9.8 4.3 1.7 0.2 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Ella Anderson 100% 11.6 0.1 0.3 2.5 5.9 10.9 17.8 22.7 20.5 12.2 5.8 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Arig Tong 1.5 33.7 34.6 23.4 6.5 1.9 0.1
Olivia Morlock 1.5 32.8 34.8 23.7 7.2 1.6
Aric Tong 4.6 0.2 0.6 6.3 22.6 32.4 31.1 5.6 1.0 0.5
Emma Smith 6.9 0.1 1.0 3.1 11.8 35.9 24.5 14.1 6.9 2.3 0.4 0.2
Mackenzie Barnett 7.6 0.2 2.1 7.6 23.1 29.9 19.4 11.9 4.6 1.3 0.1
Kirsten Ballard 8.7 0.4 2.0 9.8 17.9 28.2 24.2 13.7 3.6 0.5 0.1
Ella Anderson 9.8 0.1 0.2 2.1 6.2 17.1 30.7 30.9 10.7 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.1